If you have been waiting to refinance your current home today is the day.

Neither these rates nor the sale prices will remain down here much longer.  Some day soon the bills for “CHANGE” will come due and we’ll see the rates begin to rise.

Look at this AP article for more details.

Gilroy home values have already bounced off the bottom.  Likewise, Morgan Hill and Hollister homes have seen a balance in demand and supply.

Time for your co-workers, friends and family to make their move.

What do you think?

After looking at several Hollister homes I heard the frustrated buyer sigh:  ”I think we’re just going to wait to buy a home“.  I tried to reason with him regarding rising prices and the likely increase in home loan rates.  He was just too disappointed to hear anything right then.  So, this post is my therapy for today’s weary home buyers. 

Home loan rates WILL go up.  It’s only a matter of when will they start.  All of the attempts to stave off a sick economy cost money and will begin to push rates higher.  As they rise, ‘purchasing power’ drops:                      

Let’s say my buyer waits 6 months and the rates then are up .5%.  His $300,000 loan will cost $92 MORE each month than he could get today.  To qualify then he will have to earn $225 MORE per month for the same loan he could get now.  If his income hasn’t changed his purchasing power will drop by $17,150!

If the rates go up by 1.0% the payment will jump up by $192 per month for the same $300,000 loan he could have gotten today.  $192 PER MONTH!  Yikes!   His income will need to be $460 more per month to qualify for the same loan he could have gotten today.  With no change in income, his  purchasing power will drop by $32,800!

Postponing the purchase of your home doesn’t make cents.  Get a good night’s sleep and go back at it tomorrow.  Afterall, somebody is buying these homes.  Why not you?

Ah man! I’m getting

That was the approach some agents were taking earlier this year.  Many are still.  Finally, however, the banks have gotten wise to this ‘blue sky’ approach. 

I made an offer for a prospective buyer on a nice Ridgemark home in Hollister.  The listing agent informed me there were 4 other offers and 2 were considerably higher offers than ours.  Reluctantly the buyers did not want to try again on this home. 

What was fascinating however, was the bank countered that the offerees had to agree to pay for the amount over and above the appraised value when it came in.  I like that!  Finally, some intelligent approaches to this frenzy we’re seeing in the starter-priced homes.  If the accepted offer was, say, $350,000, but the appraisal came in at $325,000 the buyer would have to pay $25,000 over and above the appraisal.  Of course their loan amount is computed from the appraised value or sales price, whichever is lower. They would pay their down payment PLUS the amount over value.

Hopefully, more banks will begin handling the question of value up front in this manner rather than 3 weeks later when the other prospective buyers have moved on and the appraisal comes in low.

So, what do you think?  Will this smooth out the ‘offering’ process some?

I sat them down and shared what many homeowners have learned over the years.  Your accountant can tell you what your new tax liability will be if you buy that tempting home.  In most cases the amount  you will be required to pay in income tax will DROP because of the larger amount paid toward interest and taxes.  Some of us have figured that it is better to reduce our income tax withholding from our paychecks each payday rather than get our refund in a lump sum (with no earned interest) at the end of the year. 

Here is their example:  Sales Price: $650,000; New VA Loan: $591,800; Total Principal, Interest, Taxes and Insurance: $4,210; Income Tax Deduction at a 26% tax bracket: $898/mth; Net “House Payment” after income tax deduction: $3,312. 

Same home, same terms but a house payment that feels like $3,312.  That made the difference.  They will simply need to take a new W4 form to their employers and have them reduce their withholdings by $898 so they will have that much more to take-home each month.  While they still make the actual payment of $4,210 the additional take-home pay makes the leap in house payment more palitable. 

They will break even at the end of the year: they won’t owe much income tax nor will they get much of a refund.  HOWEVER, they will have received their refund during the year to help offset their new, higher payment. 

Everybody was happy and moved forward with what they really wanted to do. 

I love solving problems for people!  Have you done this yet?

This is what I deal with often – not in cars but Veteran’s Benefits.  Many so-called VA Lenders fail to ask one simple question of every Veteran. “Do you receive any disability pay from the VA?”  The failure to ask that question costs disabled Vets thousands of dollars unnecessarily.  

Let’s say a Vet buys a $300,000 home and uses their Eligibility for a no-down VA.  If that Vet  receives disability pay, he/she does NOT have to pay the “VA Funding Fee”.  A first time user of their VA Home Loan benefit has a Funding Fee of 2.15% of the VA Loan amount.  So, our $300,000 sales price and VA Loan amount would have a $6,450 Funding Fee as part of the Veteran’s costs.  HOWEVER, if the Lender asks that question and does the proper paperwork for the disabled Vet, the Veteran’s Administration will waive that $6,450 VA Funding Fee.  Good news for the 267,318 disabled CA vets (3,268,045 nationally).

“It’s who you know that makes all the difference in the world”.  That is true. But even if your Uncle Bob is an auto dealer, if he doesn’t know that your situation has benefits we have to tweak the slogan: “It’s not just who you know but what they know that counts”.  

Do you know of any such situations?  I’d love to hear from you.

‘Houston…the Eagle has landed’

Home values in San Jose, Morgan Hill, Gilroy, Hollister and San Juan Bautista “have landed” at the bottom of their value slide and are beginning to “lift off” that bottom.  We are not going to see these prices again for a very, very long time, if ever again. 

Here’s the affect of waiting to buy a home: A home listed today for $350,000 and goes up 5.0% in value will then be worth $367,500.  A buyer who waited and then buys this home will need $985 MORE CASH and $268/mth MORE INCOME to qualify for this same home. 

If the  interest rate is at 6.0% (vs. the 5.0% used above) when the buyer decides to purchase this increased-value-home, their income will need to be $843/mth. HIGHER to qualify!

Some prospective home buyers may be calling out: “Houston, we’ve got a problem“.  The erosion of their purchasing power may make them permanent renters. 

My crystal ball recommends that those who want to buy a home climb on board NOW while they can.  What does yours forcast?

Today, we again find ourselves in need of creative financing.  Up-scale homes, requiring ’jumbo loans’ are not experiencing the same resurgence as the lower cost, “conforming” group of homes.  In fact, homes with prices over $700,000 are selling at a much slower pace, if they sell at all.  Their prices are still falling while lower priced, ‘tract’ homes are rebounding.   It’s all about the financing or, lack of it.

Lenders are requiring at least 20% down from the buyer on prices above $463,300.  With the ‘Jumbo’ limit of $729,750 and minimum of 20% down many buyers simply don’t have enough cash.  Previously helpful, second loans offered by sellers must be over and above the minimum 20% cash from the buyer. ”Willing sellers and qualified buyers” (without 20%+ cash) for jumbo sales are being held at bay do to a significantly tightened lending atmosphere.

Even if an upper-end home finds a buyer with a large down payment good luck in the home appraising.  Lender’s are now being required to accept only those appraisals with 2 comparable sales within the last 90 days.  So, with fewer comparable sales, and dropping prices many higher priced home sales don’t close due to very low appraised values.

However, the “Wrap” is making a come back (more properly called an “All Inclusive Deed of Trust” or A.I.D.T.).  A willing and capable buyer can pay the seller’s price and avoid the lender limits and appraisal constrictions.  Additionally, since there are no lender fees the money normally spent on closing costs can be added to the down payment.

In the last 30 days I proposed 4 AIDTs for stagnant Hollister and San Juan Bautista up-scale homes.  Morgan Hill and Gilroy ‘Jumbo’ homes could also benefit form an AIDT sale.

When one of these AIDT sales records there will be a new comparable property appraisers can use to justify the higher prices nice homes should bring.  THEN, we’ll begin to see the ‘Jumbo’ home sales moving toward their earlier values.  I love problem solving!

The Average Sales Price (ASP) increased 15.2% from May to June! Hollister’s ASP in June was $287,900 whereas a month earlier the average was $249,900.  Compared to June 2008 however, Hollister’s ASP was down 14.7% .

A valuable indicator: the “Closed Sales to New Listings ratio” (CS:NL) is actually in conflict with the jump in ASP.   June’s CS:NL ratio dropped to 56.9% from May’s 89.6%.  We saw the same drop in Gilroy for June however, their ASP also dropped.   The harbinger of things to come, may lie in the nice increase of Hollister’s CS:NL over 6/08’s ratio of 40.2%.  Just wait and see.  As our CS:NL ratio increases so will our ASP.

Nearby Morgan Hill’s homes experienced an increase in both the CS:NL ratio and ASP.

My strong advice: if you plan to buy a home this year do it now.  We see nothing that suggest prices will drop or even level off in the foreseeable future.  Likewise I think interest rates for home loans are about as low as they are going to get.

For your own study of the actual Multiple Listing Service figures go onto “Client Portfolio” on the navigation bar.  There you can see a great deal of real-time data.  Enjoy.

As you would expect, Gilroy’s Average Sales Price (ASP) of $395,900 dropped 3.8% in June from the month prior ($411,500).  Likewise, the ASP was down 32.5% from 6/08’s $586,800.

While  interest rates and prices are still down buyers who want the American Dream, Gilroy-style, should jump on the shrinking inventory of homes.  Gilroy’s home prices will go up.

Down the road in Hollister the CS:NL ratio also dropped from May to June but the ASP went UP 15.2% in that same month!   Compared to ‘08 Hollister is following Morgan Hill and Gilroy’s trend of an increasing CS:NL ratio.

For your own study of the actual Multiple Listing Service figures go onto “Client Portfolio” on the navigation bar.  There you can see a great deal of real-time data.  Enjoy.